30-year Treasury yield Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views
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20:20
Sep 18
Sep 18
Treasury yields still headed higher.
The yield trajectory remains higher-for-longer: the 2-year Treasury yield has risen for five straight weeks, the 10-year yield is above 5%, and the 30-year yield is around 5.33%. The speaker expects yields to continue higher based on market expectations.
HIGH
13:38
Sep 16
Sep 16
Watch long-end yields for risk signal.
The key signal after the FOMC is whether the 10-year and 30-year bond yields come down. If long-end yields fall, the market is reacting favorably and risk assets, including crypto, should see upside; if not, volatility is likely.
HIGH
14:10
Sep 12
Sep 12
Long-end yields hinge on Fed credibility
Long-end US bond yields, especially 10-year and 30-year yields, have been high partly because investors worry the Fed is losing credibility as an inflation fighter. If Warsh hikes and restores that credibility, there could be a Goldilocks outcome in long-end rates.
LOW
11:18
Sep 11
Sep 11
Fed inadequate; long-end yields to rise.
Fed policy is inadequate because inflation is near 3.4% year-on-year versus a 2% target, oil prices are rising, and tariffs are increasing. Even if the Fed hikes 25 bps or does nothing, long-end Treasury yields will rise sharply; the 10-year hitting 5% and the 30-year reaching 5.75% would create a significant headwind. Long-end yields matter more than the fed funds rate for mortgages, government debt, the economy, and the stock market.
HIGH
20:36
Jul 29
Jul 29
Watch 30-year Treasury yield break 5.20%
The Fed's abandonment of forward guidance is increasing uncertainty, causing the market to tighten financial conditions via higher long-end yields. The 30-year Treasury yield is approaching the critical 5.20% level; a break above would signal a serious loss of credibility and likely trigger further bond selloff, making it a key level to monitor.
HIGH
23:08
Jan 27
Jan 27
Long-end yields rise toward five percent
The long end of the Treasury curve is under pressure, with the 30-year yield up 4 basis points at 4.08% while the 2-year yield fell, and there is concern the 30-year yield could climb back to 5%.
LOW
About 30-year Treasury yield Investor Commentary
Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks 30-year Treasury yield across 3 sources: 2 bullish vs 0 bearish calls from 5 authors. Historical directional balance: 33% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 6 total trade ideas tracked. Past 7 days, before deduplication: 1 bullish, 1 other directions. Latest voices: Romaine Bostick, Kris Bullock, Tom Orlick.